Sam Darnold — Passing Touchdowns
Projection 1.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 0 of 10 (0%).
Sam Darnold Passing Touchdowns 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 47.5% against 52.2% (an edge of -4.7 points) and is now 47.5% against 52.2% (-4.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 9:30 PM | 47.5% | 52.2% | -4.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 3m ago | |
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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