Case Keenum — Passing Touchdowns
Last 6 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 3 of 6 (50%).
Case Keenum Passing Touchdowns 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 56.6% against 60.0% (an edge of -3.4 points) and is now 60.5% against 66.4% (-5.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 11:30 PM | 56.6% | 60.0% | -3.4 |
| Sep 26, 3:10 AM | 57.2% | 59.7% | -2.5 |
| Sep 26, 1:30 PM | 59.4% | 59.0% | 0.4 |
| Sep 26, 1:40 PM | 58.4% | 61.5% | -3.1 |
| Sep 26, 3:00 PM | 57.0% | 62.8% | -5.8 |
| Sep 26, 4:40 PM | 61.7% | 61.9% | -0.2 |
| Sep 26, 4:50 PM | 60.5% | 66.4% | -5.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1m ago | ||
 Novig
|
0.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 2h ago | |
| Parlayplay | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Parlayplay last repriced this 5h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium5 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 1 minute ago.