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Baker Mayfield

QB · TB · team page

ATL @ TB

Week 8 Sun 1:00 PM ET Moneyline ATL +12544.4%44¢ Novig TB -12455.4%55¢ Sxbet Spread ATL +2.5 -10350.7%51¢ LowVig TB -2.5 +10449%49¢ Polymarket Total Over +10848.1%48¢ Novig Under -10851.9%52¢ Kalshi

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Selected prop

Passing Yards

Line

o/u 215.5

Over at o/u 215.5

-10551.2%51¢

Fanatics Sportsbook

Under at o/u 215.5

-11553.5%53¢

ProphetX

Projection: 214.8 yds
Consensus: -10851.9%52¢
Range: 99.5–349.5

Recent form

Last 10 games vs o/u 215.5

10 20 30 50 75 100

Edge -0.7 yds L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 10/20 All 21/38 (55%)

Where to bet

26 lines · every venue we track

Best Over · any line 215.5 -10551.2%51¢

Fanatics Sportsbook

EV -3.0% · L10 4/10 · All 21/38

Best Under · any line 199.5 +14840.3%40¢ Rebet

EV +7.7% · L10 5/10 · All 14/38

Line o/u 215.5 · 3 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

▲ most books

Best O: -333397.1%97¢
Best U: +40842.4%2¢
Hit rate vs 99.5: 36/38

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 36/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	-333397.1%97¢	+40842.4%2¢

Best O: ———
Best U: -11553.5%53¢
Hit rate vs 101.5: 36/38

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 36/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	———	-11553.5%53¢

Best O: ———
Best U: -11252.8%53¢
Hit rate vs 103.5: 36/38

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 36/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	———	-11252.8%53¢

Best O: -132993%93¢
Best U: +15756%6¢
Hit rate vs 124.5: 34/38

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 8/10 L20 17/20 All 34/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	-171894.5%94¢	+20832.5%32¢
ProphetX	-240096%96¢	———
Rebet	———	+15756%6¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Polymarket	-132993%93¢	+25728%28¢	93%

Best O: -66787%87¢
Best U: +66913%13¢
Hit rate vs 149.5: 33/38

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 16/20 All 33/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	+20333%33¢
ProphetX	-72087.8%88¢	———
Rebet	-66787%87¢	+66913%13¢

Best O: -30075%75¢
Best U: +30224.9%25¢
Hit rate vs 174.5: 29/38

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 7/10 L20 14/20 All 29/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	-35077.8%78¢	———
Rebet	-30375.2%75¢	+30224.9%25¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-30075%75¢	+25728%28¢	75%
Polymarket	-30075%75¢	+20333%33¢	75%

Best O: -14959.8%60¢
Best U: +14840.3%40¢
Hit rate vs 199.5: 24/38

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 5/10 L20 12/20 All 24/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	-16862.7%63¢	———
Rebet	-14959.8%60¢	+14840.3%40¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Polymarket	-15660.9%61¢	+13342.9%43¢	61%

Best O: -16061.5%62¢
Best U: +11546.5%47¢
Hit rate vs 203.5: 22/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 22/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-16061.5%62¢	+11546.5%47¢

Best O: -12054.5%55¢
Best U: -11052.4%52¢
Hit rate vs 210.5: 22/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 22/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-12755.9%56¢	-11453.3%53¢
Fanatics Sportsbook	-12054.5%55¢	-11052.4%52¢

Best O: -12255%55¢
Best U: -11854.1%54¢
Hit rate vs 211.5: 22/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 22/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-12255%55¢	-11854.1%54¢

Best O: -11854.1%54¢
Best U: -11052.4%52¢
Hit rate vs 212.5: 22/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 22/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-11854.1%54¢	-12255%55¢
Hard Rock Bet	-12555.6%56¢	-11052.4%52¢

Best O: -11553.5%53¢
Best U: -12555.6%56¢
Hit rate vs 213.5: 22/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 11/20 All 22/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Fliff	-11553.5%53¢	-12555.6%56¢

Best O: -10551.2%51¢
Best U: -11553.5%53¢
Hit rate vs 215.5: 21/38

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 4/10 L20 10/20 All 21/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-11252.8%53¢	-12956.3%56¢
Fanatics Sportsbook	-10551.2%51¢	-12555.6%56¢
ProphetX	-10551.2%51¢	-11553.5%53¢

Best O: -11252.8%53¢
Best U: -11152.6%53¢
Hit rate vs 216.5: 20/38

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 3/10 L20 9/20 All 20/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-11353.1%53¢	-11152.6%53¢
DraftKings	-11252.8%53¢	-11252.8%53¢

Best O: ———
Best U: -12555.6%56¢
Hit rate vs 217.5: 19/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 8/20 All 19/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	-12555.6%56¢
Novig	———	-27073%73¢

Best O: -10551.2%51¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 220.5: 19/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 8/20 All 19/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-10551.2%51¢	———

Best O: ———
Best U: -14058.3%58¢
Hit rate vs 223.5: 18/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 8/20 All 18/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	-14058.3%58¢

Best O: +15040%40¢
Best U: -13056.5%57¢
Hit rate vs 224.5: 18/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 8/20 All 18/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+13243.1%43¢	-17463.5%64¢
Rebet	+12943.7%44¢	-13056.5%57¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+15040%40¢	-15060%60¢	40%
Polymarket	+13842%42¢	-15060%60¢	42%

Best O: +10548.8%49¢
Best U: -15060%60¢
Hit rate vs 225.5: 18/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 8/20 All 18/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+10548.8%49¢	-15060%60¢

Best O: +11047.6%48¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 227.5: 18/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 8/20 All 18/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+11047.6%48¢	———

Best O: +11546.5%47¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 229.5: 17/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 7/20 All 17/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+11546.5%47¢	———

Best O: +25628.1%28¢
Best U: -25671.9%72¢
Hit rate vs 249.5: 15/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 6/20 All 15/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	-66987%87¢
ProphetX	+17836%36¢	———
Rebet	+25628.1%28¢	-25671.9%72¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+24529%29¢	-25772%72¢	29%
Polymarket	+23330%30¢	-27073%73¢	30%

Best O: +50016.7%17¢
Best U: -48883%83¢
Hit rate vs 274.5: 13/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 4/20 All 13/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	-323397%97¢
ProphetX	+28526%26¢	———
Rebet	+50016.7%17¢	-50083.3%83¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+40020%20¢	-48883%83¢	20%
Polymarket	+33523%23¢	-48883%83¢	23%

Best O: +10448.7%9¢
Best U: -90090%90¢
Hit rate vs 299.5: 8/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 1/10 L20 2/20 All 8/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+58014.7%15¢	———
Rebet	+10448.7%9¢	-100090.9%91¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+73312%12¢	-90090%90¢	12%
Polymarket	+61414%14¢	-90090%90¢	14%

Best O: +21684.4%4¢
Best U: -200095.2%95¢
Hit rate vs 324.5: 7/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 1/10 L20 2/20 All 7/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+90010%10¢	———
Rebet	+21684.4%4¢	-200095.2%95¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Polymarket	+10119%9¢	———	9%

Best O: +19005%5¢
Best U: -312696.9%97¢
Hit rate vs 349.5: 3/38

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 0/10 L20 1/20 All 3/38

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+19005%5¢	-312696.9%97¢
ProphetX	+14006.7%7¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+15676%6¢	———	6%

Game log

Most recent first · Passing Yards

Baker Mayfield game log, Passing Yards
Date	Opp	Passing Yards	Vs 215.5
Oct 25	@ CAR	64.0	Miss
Sep 27	vs MIN	217.0	Hit
Sep 20	vs CLE	182.0	Miss
Sep 13	@ CIN	216.0	Hit
Jan 3	vs CAR	203.0	Miss
Dec 28	@ MIA	346.0	Hit
Dec 21	@ CAR	145.0	Miss
Dec 11	vs ATL	277.0	Hit
Dec 7	vs NO	122.0	Miss
Nov 30	vs ARI	194.0	Miss

Latest updates

Mayfield (thumb) was a full participant in Friday's practice but is listed questionable for Sunday's game against the Panthers, Greg Auman of Fox Sports reports.
8 days ago

BallDontLie
Head coach Todd Bowles said Friday that Mayfield (right thumb) is ready for Sunday's game at Carolina, Greg Auman of Fox Sports reports.
8 days ago

BallDontLie
Mayfield (right thumb) practiced fully Thursday.
9 days ago

BallDontLie
Mayfield (right thumb) was a full practice participant Wednesday, Scott Smith of the Buccaneers' official site reports.
10 days ago

BallDontLie
Mayfield (thumb) was seen participating in Wednesday's practice and was throwing while wearing a glove on his right hand, Rick Stroud of the Tampa Bay Times reports.
10 days ago

BallDontLie