Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (18.5)
Teal bars cleared 18.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Tyson Bagent Rushing Yards 18.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.7% against 53.1% (an edge of -4.4 points) and is now 50.0% against 54.7% (-4.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 7:00 PM | 48.7% | 53.1% | -4.4 |
| Sep 26, 8:10 PM | 50.0% | 54.7% | -4.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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18.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 7h ago | |
| Parlayplay | 18.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Parlayplay last repriced this 1d ago | ||
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18.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 7h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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