Derrick Henry

BAL @ BUF

Week 8 Sun 1:00 PM ET Moneyline BAL +16138.3%38¢ Sxbet BUF -16061.5%62¢ Bet99 Spread BAL +3 +10648.5%49¢ ProphetX BUF -3 -10551.2%51¢ Miseojeu Total Over +10449%49¢ Betfair Ex Under -10651.5%51¢ Betfair Ex

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Selected prop

Rushing Yards

Line

o/u 78.5

Over at o/u 78.5

-10952.2%52¢

ProphetX

Under at o/u 78.5

-10952.2%52¢

ProphetX

Projection: 79.8 yds
Consensus: -11252.8%53¢
Range: 22.5–159.5

Recent form

Last 10 games vs o/u 78.5

10 20 30 50 75 100

Edge +1.3 yds L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 26/43 (60%)

Where to bet

39 lines · every venue we track

Best Over · any line 89.5 +13243.1%43¢ Rebet

EV +1.6% · L10 5/10 · All 22/43

Best Under · any line 69.5 +16737.5%37¢ Rebet

EV +16.0% · L10 3/10 · All 13/43

Line o/u 78.5 · 6 venues

Tick marks the line most venues quote.

▲ most books

Best O: -11252.8%53¢
Best U: -11553.5%53¢
Hit rate vs 22.5: 43/43

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 43/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-11252.8%53¢	-11553.5%53¢

Best O: -200095.2%95¢
Best U: +21424.5%4¢
Hit rate vs 29.5: 42/43

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 20/20 All 42/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	-200095.2%95¢	+21424.5%4¢

Best O: -83389.3%89¢
Best U: +85310.5%10¢
Hit rate vs 39.5: 41/43

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 19/20 All 41/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	-155093.9%94¢	———
Rebet	-83389.3%89¢	+85310.5%10¢

Best O: -11653.7%54¢
Best U: -11252.8%53¢
Hit rate vs 43.5: 40/43

L3 3/3 L5 5/5 L10 10/10 L20 19/20 All 40/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Courtside	-11653.7%54¢	-11252.8%53¢

Best O: -42681%81¢
Best U: +37621%21¢
Hit rate vs 49.5: 38/43

L3 2/3 L5 4/5 L10 9/10 L20 18/20 All 38/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	-56084.8%85¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-42681%81¢	+37621%21¢	81%

Best O: -23370%70¢
Best U: +26827.2%27¢
Hit rate vs 59.5: 36/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 17/20 All 36/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	+17836%36¢
ProphetX	-28073.7%74¢	———
Rebet	-27073%73¢	+26827.2%27¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-23370%70¢	+22331%31¢	70%
Polymarket	-24571%71¢	+19434%34¢	71%

Best O: -22569.2%69¢
Best U: +16038.5%38¢
Hit rate vs 64.5: 34/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 15/20 All 34/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-22569.2%69¢	+16038.5%38¢

Best O: -22068.8%69¢
Best U: +15040%40¢
Hit rate vs 65.5: 33/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 15/20 All 33/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-22068.8%69¢	+15040%40¢

Best O: -21067.7%68¢
Best U: +14540.8%41¢
Hit rate vs 66.5: 33/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 15/20 All 33/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-21067.7%68¢	+14540.8%41¢

Best O: -20066.7%67¢
Best U: +14041.7%42¢
Hit rate vs 67.5: 32/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 8/10 L20 15/20 All 32/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-20066.7%67¢	+14041.7%42¢

Best O: -19065.5%66¢
Best U: +13542.6%43¢
Hit rate vs 68.5: 30/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 14/20 All 30/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-19065.5%66¢	+13542.6%43¢

Best O: -15660.9%61¢
Best U: +16737.5%37¢
Hit rate vs 69.5: 30/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 14/20 All 30/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-18064.3%64¢	+13043.5%43¢
Rebet	-16762.5%63¢	+16737.5%37¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	-15660.9%61¢	+15040%40¢	61%
Polymarket	-16362%62¢	+12744.1%44¢	62%

Best O: -17063%63¢
Best U: +12045.5%45¢
Hit rate vs 70.5: 30/43

L3 1/3 L5 3/5 L10 7/10 L20 14/20 All 30/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-17063%63¢	+12045.5%45¢

Best O: -15060%60¢
Best U: +11047.6%48¢
Hit rate vs 73.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 12/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-15060%60¢	+11047.6%48¢

Best O: -14559.2%59¢
Best U: +10548.8%49¢
Hit rate vs 74.5: 27/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 12/20 All 27/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-14559.2%59¢	+10548.8%49¢

Best O: -13557.4%57¢
Best U: +10050%50¢
Hit rate vs 75.5: 26/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 26/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Fanatics Sportsbook	-13557.4%57¢	+10050%50¢
Hard Rock Bet	———	+10050%50¢

Best O: -13056.5%57¢
Best U: -10551.2%51¢
Hit rate vs 76.5: 26/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 26/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	-13056.5%57¢	-10551.2%51¢

Best O: -11553.5%53¢
Best U: -11553.5%53¢
Hit rate vs 77.5: 26/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 26/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢

Best O: -10952.2%52¢
Best U: -10952.2%52¢
Hit rate vs 78.5: 26/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 26/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-11353.1%53¢	-11854.1%54¢
DraftKings	-11152.6%53¢	-11353.1%53¢
FanDuel	-11353.1%53¢	-11353.1%53¢
Novig	-11052.4%52¢	-11052.4%52¢
Pinnacle	-11252.8%53¢	-11252.8%53¢
ProphetX	-10952.2%52¢	-10952.2%52¢

Best O: +10050%50¢
Best U: +11047.6%48¢
Hit rate vs 79.5: 26/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 26/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Bet99	-11553.5%53¢	-11553.5%53¢
DraftKings	-11353.1%53¢	-11152.6%53¢
Novig	+10050%50¢	-11353.1%53¢
ProphetX	-10551.2%51¢	-11453.3%53¢
Rebet	———	+11047.6%48¢
Sportzino	-12054.5%55¢	-12555.6%56¢
Stoiximan	-11152.6%53¢	-11052.4%52¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	———	-10451%51¢
Polymarket	-10050%50¢	-10851.9%52¢	50%

Best O: -10551.2%51¢
Best U: -12555.6%56¢
Hit rate vs 80.5: 26/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 26/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Fanatics Sportsbook	-10551.2%51¢	-12555.6%56¢

Best O: -10150.2%50¢
Best U: +10149.8%50¢
Hit rate vs 81.5: 26/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 26/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
BetRivers	-11753.9%54¢	-11453.3%53¢
Hard Rock Bet	———	-13056.5%57¢
Rebet	-10150.2%50¢	+10149.8%50¢

Best O: +10548.8%49¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 84.5: 23/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 23/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+10548.8%49¢	———

Best O: +11047.6%48¢
Best U: -15060%60¢
Hit rate vs 85.5: 23/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 23/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+11047.6%48¢	-15060%60¢

Best O: +11546.5%47¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 86.5: 23/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 23/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+11546.5%47¢	———

Best O: +12045.5%45¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 87.5: 23/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 23/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+12045.5%45¢	———

Best O: +12544.4%44¢
Best U: ———
Hit rate vs 88.5: 23/43

L3 1/3 L5 2/5 L10 6/10 L20 11/20 All 23/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+12544.4%44¢	———

Best O: +13842%42¢
Best U: -15660.9%61¢
Hit rate vs 89.5: 22/43

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 10/20 All 22/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+13043.5%43¢	-17563.6%64¢
ProphetX	+13043.5%43¢	-16862.7%63¢
Rebet	+13243.1%43¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+13842%42¢	———	42%
Polymarket	———	-15660.9%61¢

Best O: +13542.6%43¢
Best U: -18064.3%64¢
Hit rate vs 90.5: 22/43

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 10/20 All 22/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+13542.6%43¢	-18064.3%64¢

Best O: +14041.7%42¢
Best U: -19065.5%66¢
Hit rate vs 91.5: 22/43

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 10/20 All 22/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	+14041.7%42¢	-19065.5%66¢

Best O: ———
Best U: -19566.1%66¢
Hit rate vs 92.5: 21/43

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 10/20 All 21/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	-19566.1%66¢

Best O: ———
Best U: -22068.8%69¢
Hit rate vs 94.5: 20/43

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 9/20 All 20/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Hard Rock Bet	———	-22068.8%69¢

Best O: +20333%33¢
Best U: -19265.8%66¢
Hit rate vs 99.5: 20/43

L3 1/3 L5 1/5 L10 5/10 L20 9/20 All 20/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	———	-33577%77¢
ProphetX	+18834.7%35¢	-34577.5%78¢
Rebet	+19434%34¢	-19265.8%66¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+20333%33¢	-22369%69¢	33%
Polymarket	+20333%33¢	-28574%74¢	33%

Best O: +30025%25¢
Best U: -27873.5%74¢
Hit rate vs 109.5: 16/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 6/20 All 16/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+27726.5%27¢	-123392.5%92¢
ProphetX	+27027%27¢	———
Rebet	+27926.4%26¢	-27873.5%74¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+30025%25¢	-33577%77¢	25%
Polymarket	+30025%25¢	-35578%78¢	25%

Best O: +39520.2%20¢
Best U: -40080%80¢
Hit rate vs 119.5: 15/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 4/10 L20 5/20 All 15/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Rebet	+39520.2%20¢	-40080%80¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+37621%21¢	-48883%83¢	21%

Best O: +59014.5%14¢
Best U: -58885.5%85¢
Hit rate vs 129.5: 12/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 2/20 All 12/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
ProphetX	+40519.8%20¢	———
Rebet	+59014.5%14¢	-58885.5%85¢

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+56715%15¢	-73388%88¢	15%

Best O: +9069.9%10¢
Best U: -101191%91¢
Hit rate vs 139.5: 10/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 2/10 L20 2/20 All 10/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+64113.5%13¢	-823398.8%99¢
ProphetX	+42519%19¢	———
Rebet	+9069.9%10¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+80911%11¢	-101191%91¢	11%

Best O: +13317%7¢
Best U: -190095%95¢
Hit rate vs 149.5: 7/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 1/10 L20 1/20 All 7/43

Sportsbooks

Sportsbooks pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under
Novig	+80911%11¢	———
ProphetX	+67013%13¢	———
Rebet	+13317%7¢	———

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	———	-190095%95¢

Best O: +13297%7¢
Best U: -490098%98¢
Hit rate vs 159.5: 6/43

L3 0/3 L5 0/5 L10 1/10 L20 1/20 All 6/43

Prediction Markets

Prediction Markets pricing this line
Venue	Over	Under	Implied %
Kalshi	+13297%7¢	-490098%98¢	7%

Game log

Most recent first · Rushing Yards

Derrick Henry game log, Rushing Yards
Date	Opp	Rushing Yards	Vs 78.5
Oct 25	vs CIN	45.0	Miss
Oct 18	@ CLE	58.0	Miss
Oct 11	@ ATL	102.0	Hit
Oct 4	vs TEN	73.0	Miss
Sep 27	@ DAL	89.0	Hit
Sep 20	vs NO	68.0	Miss
Sep 13	@ IND	144.0	Hit
Jan 4	@ PIT	126.0	Hit
Dec 27	@ GB	216.0	Hit
Dec 21	vs NE	128.0	Hit