+4.04pp vs fair:
ProphetX
prices the over at
+10449%49¢
against
FanDuel's
-12255%55¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (13.5)
Teal bars cleared 13.5 — 9 of 10 (90%).
Leonard Miller Points Rebounds 13.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.0% against 57.6% (an edge of -5.6 points) and is now 52.5% against 49.0% (3.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 2:30 PM | 52.0% | 57.6% | -5.6 |
| Oct 21, 3:10 PM | 52.5% | 49.0% | 3.5 |
| Oct 21, 3:20 PM | 52.5% | 49.0% | 3.5 |
| Oct 21, 12:19 PM | 52.5% | 49.0% | 3.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 21m ago | ||
| Courtside | 13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 58m ago | ||
|
|
13.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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