Projection 1.0
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Terrence Shannon Threes 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 65.3% against 71.5% (an edge of -6.2 points) and is now 64.0% against 71.5% (-7.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 6:10 AM | 65.3% | 71.5% | -6.2 |
| Oct 23, 3:04 AM | 64.0% | 71.5% | -7.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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