Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (12.5)
Teal bars cleared 12.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Jared McCain Points Rebounds 12.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.8% against 55.2% (an edge of -4.4 points) and is now 51.1% against 54.8% (-3.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 9:10 AM | 50.8% | 55.2% | -4.4 |
| Oct 19, 10:20 AM | 50.6% | 55.2% | -4.6 |
| Oct 19, 12:10 PM | 50.0% | 55.4% | -5.4 |
| Oct 19, 12:20 PM | 51.0% | 55.6% | -4.6 |
| Oct 19, 2:40 PM | 47.6% | 53.9% | -6.3 |
| Oct 19, 3:10 PM | 50.5% | 54.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 19, 4:00 PM | 47.2% | 53.9% | -6.7 |
| Oct 19, 6:00 PM | 51.8% | 54.8% | -3 |
| Oct 19, 7:50 PM | 51.6% | 54.3% | -2.7 |
| Oct 19, 8:00 PM | 51.2% | 54.5% | -3.3 |
| Oct 19, 8:10 PM | 51.1% | 54.3% | -3.2 |
| Oct 19, 4:59 PM | 51.1% | 54.8% | -3.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 18m ago | ||
| Courtside | 12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 26m ago | ||
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12.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 52m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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