Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Andre Drummond Threes 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 40.5% against 45.0% (an edge of -4.5 points) and is now 35.4% against 40.3% (-4.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 19, 6:00 PM | 40.5% | 45.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 19, 6:10 PM | 39.7% | 44.8% | -5.1 |
| Oct 19, 6:20 PM | 40.3% | 44.1% | -3.8 |
| Oct 19, 6:40 PM | 38.6% | 41.7% | -3.1 |
| Oct 19, 6:50 PM | 40.8% | 44.1% | -3.3 |
| Oct 19, 7:30 PM | 37.2% | 34.5% | 2.7 |
| Oct 19, 8:20 PM | 35.9% | 32.8% | 3.1 |
| Oct 19, 8:50 PM | 35.4% | 40.3% | -4.9 |
| Oct 19, 4:56 PM | 35.4% | 40.3% | -4.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 5m ago | ||
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4m ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this just now |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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