How this price has moved at 0.5
Brayden Burries Threes 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 62.3% against 70.6% (an edge of -8.3 points) and is now 62.5% against 68.8% (-6.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:30 AM | 62.3% | 70.6% | -8.3 |
| Oct 21, 3:40 AM | 62.5% | 68.8% | -6.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4h ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 23m ago | ||
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0.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 14m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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