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Brayden Burries — Threes

How this price has moved at 0.5

Brayden Burries Threes 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 62.3% against 70.6% (an edge of -8.3 points) and is now 62.5% against 68.8% (-6.3 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Oct 21, 3:30 AM 62.3% 70.6% -8.3
Oct 21, 3:40 AM 62.5% 68.8% -6.3

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Every venue pricing Brayden Burries Threes
Venue Line Over Under Vs best Age
Courtside 0.5 -198 66.4% +149 40.2% Premium to see the gap to the best price Courtside last repriced this 4h ago
DraftKingsDraftKings 0.5 -200 66.7% +151 39.8% Premium to see the gap to the best price DraftKings last repriced this 23m ago
ProphetXProphetX 0.5 -220 68.8% — ProphetX does not price the under Premium to see the gap to the best price ProphetX last repriced this 14m ago

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated 15 minutes ago.