Projection 7.0
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (7.5)
Teal bars cleared 7.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Naji Marshall Rebounds Assists 7.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 45.0% against 51.0% (an edge of -6 points) and is now 45.5% against 50.7% (-5.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:00 AM | 45.0% | 51.0% | -6 |
| Oct 21, 3:30 AM | 45.8% | 50.7% | -4.9 |
| Oct 21, 3:45 AM | 45.5% | 50.7% | -5.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 4h ago | ||
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7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 5m ago | ||
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7.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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