Projection 1.2
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Collin Sexton Threes 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 40.8% against 42.6% (an edge of -1.8 points) and is now 40.8% against 42.6% (-1.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23, 3:02 AM | 40.8% | 42.6% | -1.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 3h ago | ||
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1.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 1h ago | |
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | 1xBet last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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