Projection 5.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (4.5)
Teal bars cleared 4.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Nikola Vucevic Rebounds 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 57.2% against 62.0% (an edge of -4.8 points) and is now 56.9% against 57.1% (-0.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 21, 3:00 AM | 57.2% | 62.0% | -4.8 |
| Oct 21, 6:10 AM | 56.9% | 59.5% | -2.6 |
| Oct 21, 3:43 AM | 56.9% | 57.1% | -0.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | FanDuel last repriced this 28m ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 47m ago | ||
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4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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