Projection 1.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Alan Roden Total Bases 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.1% against 53.9% (an edge of -5.8 points) and is now 53.1% against 98.0% (-44.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 8:30 PM | 48.1% | 53.9% | -5.8 |
| Sep 20, 8:40 PM | 49.1% | 51.0% | -1.9 |
| Sep 20, 8:50 PM | 50.0% | 51.0% | -1 |
| Sep 20, 9:00 PM | 53.1% | 98.0% | -44.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Fanatics Sportsbook does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 8m ago | |
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0.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 9m ago | |
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Smarkets last repriced this 5m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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