Alan Roden — Home Runs
Projection 0.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Alan Roden Home Runs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 8.6% against 13.0% (an edge of -4.4 points) and is now 8.5% against 13.5% (-5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 8:40 PM | 8.6% | 13.0% | -4.4 |
| Sep 20, 8:50 PM | 8.5% | 13.5% | -5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Novig
|
0.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 11m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with PremiumUpdated 11 minutes ago.