Alan Roden — Hits + Runs + RBIs
How this price has moved at 1.5
Alan Roden Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 40.9% against 51.9% (an edge of -11 points) and is now 45.2% against 46.1% (-0.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 8:10 PM | 40.9% | 51.9% | -11 |
| Sep 20, 8:20 PM | 42.8% | 99.0% | -56.2 |
| Sep 20, 8:30 PM | 54.2% | 99.0% | -44.8 |
| Sep 20, 8:40 PM | 56.3% | 76.0% | -19.7 |
| Sep 20, 8:50 PM | 55.2% | 86.0% | -30.8 |
| Sep 21, 11:00 PM | 45.2% | 46.1% | -0.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Hard Rock Bet
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 3m ago | ||
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 1m ago | |
 BetMGM
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 1m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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