Alejandro Osuna — Total Bases
Projection 1.3
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (1.5)
Teal bars cleared 1.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Alejandro Osuna Total Bases 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 33.7% against 33.0% (an edge of 0.7 points) and is now 22.3% against 21.0% (1.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 6:10 PM | 33.7% | 33.0% | 0.7 |
| Sep 20, 6:50 PM | 31.5% | 32.1% | -0.6 |
| Sep 20, 7:10 PM | 46.5% | 80.5% | -34 |
| Sep 20, 7:20 PM | 47.6% | 51.9% | -4.3 |
| Sep 20, 7:30 PM | 46.6% | 49.0% | -2.4 |
| Sep 20, 7:40 PM | 32.7% | 64.0% | -31.3 |
| Sep 20, 7:50 PM | 40.0% | 37.0% | 3 |
| Sep 20, 8:00 PM | 33.1% | 36.0% | -2.9 |
| Sep 20, 8:30 PM | 21.6% | 23.0% | -1.4 |
| Sep 20, 8:50 PM | 22.6% | 21.0% | 1.6 |
| Sep 20, 9:00 PM | 21.9% | 21.0% | 0.9 |
| Sep 20, 9:10 PM | 22.3% | 21.0% | 1.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 33m ago | ||
 ProphetX
|
0.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 1h ago | |
 Smarkets
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Smarkets last repriced this 10m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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