Projection 0.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 0 of 10 (0%).
Alejandro Osuna RBIs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 29.2% against 30.0% (an edge of -0.8 points) and is now 28.5% against 29.0% (-0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 6:20 PM | 29.2% | 30.0% | -0.8 |
| Sep 20, 6:40 PM | 30.8% | 36.0% | -5.2 |
| Sep 20, 6:50 PM | 27.1% | 39.1% | -12 |
| Sep 20, 7:00 PM | 24.8% | 50.0% | -25.2 |
| Sep 20, 7:10 PM | 23.2% | 38.0% | -14.8 |
| Sep 20, 7:30 PM | 21.2% | 27.0% | -5.8 |
| Sep 20, 7:40 PM | 16.6% | 44.1% | -27.5 |
| Sep 20, 7:50 PM | 15.7% | 19.0% | -3.3 |
| Sep 20, 8:00 PM | 15.0% | 19.0% | -4 |
| Sep 20, 8:10 PM | 14.9% | 99.0% | -84.1 |
| Sep 20, 8:40 PM | 10.4% | 26.0% | -15.6 |
| Sep 20, 8:50 PM | 9.9% | 33.0% | -23.1 |
| Sep 20, 9:00 PM | 12.5% | 37.0% | -24.5 |
| Sep 26, 6:20 PM | 28.0% | 30.0% | -2 |
| Sep 26, 6:40 PM | 28.5% | 29.0% | -0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 4m ago | ||
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0.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 13m ago | |
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0.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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