Projection 0.9
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Alejandro Osuna Hits 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 59.1% against 72.0% (an edge of -12.9 points) and is now 59.2% against 65.5% (-6.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 6:40 PM | 59.1% | 72.0% | -12.9 |
| Sep 20, 6:50 PM | 57.2% | 68.5% | -11.3 |
| Sep 20, 7:00 PM | 57.2% | 63.3% | -6.1 |
| Sep 26, 5:20 PM | 61.6% | 66.0% | -4.4 |
| Sep 26, 5:40 PM | 58.9% | 65.3% | -6.4 |
| Sep 26, 6:20 PM | 55.2% | 60.0% | -4.8 |
| Sep 26, 6:40 PM | 59.2% | 65.5% | -6.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 4m ago | ||
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0.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 23m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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