Projection 0.0
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 0 of 10 (0%).
Marcelo Mayer Home Runs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 8.8% against 10.5% (an edge of -1.7 points) and is now 9.5% against 10.0% (-0.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 2:00 AM | 8.8% | 10.5% | -1.7 |
| Sep 22, 2:10 AM | 9.5% | 10.0% | -0.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 1h ago | |
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0.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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