Projection 0.5
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Chase Meidroth Hits 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 68.8% against 74.0% (an edge of -5.2 points) and is now 53.1% against 55.9% (-2.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 4:50 AM | 68.8% | 74.0% | -5.2 |
| Sep 22, 12:20 PM | 66.5% | 70.1% | -3.6 |
| Sep 22, 1:00 PM | 67.5% | 68.9% | -1.4 |
| Sep 22, 1:20 PM | 66.9% | 70.0% | -3.1 |
| Sep 22, 1:30 PM | 68.1% | 70.0% | -1.9 |
| Sep 22, 1:40 PM | 66.5% | 72.0% | -5.5 |
| Sep 22, 1:50 PM | 65.3% | 71.0% | -5.7 |
| Sep 22, 2:10 PM | 65.9% | 70.0% | -4.1 |
| Sep 22, 2:20 PM | 65.3% | 70.0% | -4.7 |
| Sep 22, 2:40 PM | 65.9% | 69.9% | -4 |
| Sep 22, 3:10 PM | 65.3% | 68.4% | -3.1 |
| Sep 22, 4:20 PM | 65.3% | 68.1% | -2.8 |
| Sep 22, 5:20 PM | 67.1% | 71.0% | -3.9 |
| Sep 22, 5:30 PM | 65.9% | 67.0% | -1.1 |
| Sep 22, 5:40 PM | 69.0% | 67.0% | 2 |
| Sep 22, 5:50 PM | 67.9% | 65.0% | 2.9 |
| Sep 22, 6:40 PM | 66.5% | 66.9% | -0.4 |
| Sep 22, 7:20 PM | 67.5% | 69.7% | -2.2 |
| Sep 22, 9:40 PM | 65.9% | 67.0% | -1.1 |
| Sep 22, 9:50 PM | 65.3% | 73.0% | -7.7 |
| Sep 22, 11:40 PM | 64.9% | 97.0% | -32.1 |
| Sep 23, 4:10 AM | 64.6% | 69.2% | -4.6 |
| Sep 23, 4:30 AM | 64.0% | 66.2% | -2.2 |
| Sep 23, 5:10 AM | 63.5% | 66.0% | -2.5 |
| Sep 23, 7:50 AM | 64.0% | 68.8% | -4.8 |
| Sep 23, 8:00 AM | 64.6% | 66.2% | -1.6 |
| Sep 23, 8:40 AM | 64.2% | 67.2% | -3 |
| Sep 23, 8:50 AM | 64.7% | 66.2% | -1.5 |
| Sep 23, 9:00 AM | 63.2% | 66.2% | -3 |
| Sep 23, 9:10 AM | 64.1% | 66.0% | -1.9 |
| Sep 23, 10:30 AM | 64.6% | 66.7% | -2.1 |
| Sep 23, 10:50 AM | 63.4% | 65.3% | -1.9 |
| Sep 23, 11:20 AM | 62.8% | 65.3% | -2.5 |
| Sep 23, 11:30 AM | 64.0% | 66.7% | -2.7 |
| Sep 23, 1:00 PM | 62.7% | 66.4% | -3.7 |
| Sep 23, 3:10 PM | 62.5% | 64.5% | -2 |
| Sep 23, 3:20 PM | 63.2% | 66.4% | -3.2 |
| Sep 23, 5:10 PM | 62.0% | 64.5% | -2.5 |
| Sep 23, 5:20 PM | 64.0% | 66.4% | -2.4 |
| Sep 23, 7:20 PM | 64.0% | 64.5% | -0.5 |
| Sep 23, 7:40 PM | 63.2% | 65.0% | -1.8 |
| Sep 23, 8:00 PM | 62.7% | 65.0% | -2.3 |
| Sep 23, 8:50 PM | 64.6% | 65.0% | -0.4 |
| Sep 23, 9:10 PM | 64.0% | 65.0% | -1 |
| Sep 23, 10:20 PM | 62.3% | 65.3% | -3 |
| Sep 23, 10:30 PM | 64.0% | 64.0% | 0 |
| Sep 23, 11:50 PM | 60.8% | 63.0% | -2.2 |
| Sep 24, 12:00 AM | 60.4% | 65.0% | -4.6 |
| Sep 24, 12:10 AM | 60.8% | 65.0% | -4.2 |
| Sep 24, 12:20 AM | 59.9% | 63.0% | -3.1 |
| Sep 24, 7:40 AM | 63.2% | 64.3% | -1.1 |
| Sep 24, 9:10 AM | 63.2% | 65.5% | -2.3 |
| Sep 24, 9:40 AM | 62.5% | 63.8% | -1.3 |
| Sep 24, 12:30 PM | 64.6% | 64.8% | -0.2 |
| Sep 24, 1:40 PM | 64.6% | 63.2% | 1.4 |
| Sep 24, 3:10 PM | 63.7% | 65.8% | -2.1 |
| Sep 24, 3:50 PM | 62.0% | 65.5% | -3.5 |
| Sep 24, 4:10 PM | 64.0% | 65.0% | -1 |
| Sep 24, 5:10 PM | 64.6% | 65.8% | -1.2 |
| Sep 24, 5:20 PM | 65.0% | 65.0% | 0 |
| Sep 24, 5:30 PM | 65.3% | 65.8% | -0.5 |
| Sep 24, 5:40 PM | 65.9% | 64.0% | 1.9 |
| Sep 24, 5:50 PM | 65.3% | 66.0% | -0.7 |
| Sep 24, 6:10 PM | 65.2% | 73.1% | -7.9 |
| Sep 25, 12:30 AM | 65.9% | 68.8% | -2.9 |
| Sep 25, 5:50 AM | 63.5% | 68.3% | -4.8 |
| Sep 25, 7:10 AM | 62.2% | 67.7% | -5.5 |
| Sep 25, 9:50 AM | 64.6% | 68.3% | -3.7 |
| Sep 25, 11:20 AM | 65.2% | 66.7% | -1.5 |
| Sep 25, 11:40 AM | 64.0% | 66.2% | -2.2 |
| Sep 25, 11:50 AM | 63.3% | 66.7% | -3.4 |
| Sep 25, 12:00 PM | 63.2% | 66.0% | -2.8 |
| Sep 25, 12:10 PM | 65.2% | 66.7% | -1.5 |
| Sep 26, 6:50 AM | 66.5% | 71.2% | -4.7 |
| Sep 26, 7:00 AM | 65.3% | 71.0% | -5.7 |
| Sep 26, 7:10 AM | 66.0% | 71.3% | -5.3 |
| Sep 26, 7:30 AM | 65.9% | 72.0% | -6.1 |
| Sep 26, 8:00 AM | 65.5% | 72.0% | -6.5 |
| Sep 26, 8:30 AM | 66.3% | 72.5% | -6.2 |
| Sep 26, 8:40 AM | 66.0% | 72.5% | -6.5 |
| Sep 26, 8:50 AM | 64.6% | 72.1% | -7.5 |
| Sep 26, 9:00 AM | 66.5% | 71.5% | -5 |
| Sep 26, 11:10 AM | 65.9% | 71.5% | -5.6 |
| Sep 26, 11:20 AM | 67.7% | 71.1% | -3.4 |
| Sep 26, 11:40 AM | 66.5% | 69.8% | -3.3 |
| Sep 26, 12:20 PM | 67.1% | 69.2% | -2.1 |
| Sep 26, 12:40 PM | 66.5% | 67.7% | -1.2 |
| Sep 26, 12:50 PM | 68.8% | 70.0% | -1.2 |
| Sep 26, 1:00 PM | 65.8% | 70.7% | -4.9 |
| Sep 26, 1:20 PM | 65.9% | 70.5% | -4.6 |
| Sep 26, 2:10 PM | 65.9% | 71.1% | -5.2 |
| Sep 26, 4:20 PM | 66.7% | 71.2% | -4.5 |
| Sep 27, 4:10 AM | 70.3% | 74.4% | -4.1 |
| Sep 28, 9:40 PM | 59.4% | 61.5% | -2.1 |
| Sep 29, 5:00 PM | 58.8% | 60.9% | -2.1 |
| Sep 29, 5:10 PM | 58.4% | 60.3% | -1.9 |
| Sep 29, 5:50 PM | 59.2% | 62.0% | -2.8 |
| Sep 29, 6:00 PM | 58.4% | 61.5% | -3.1 |
| Sep 29, 7:00 PM | 59.2% | 60.9% | -1.7 |
| Sep 29, 7:20 PM | 58.1% | 59.0% | -0.9 |
| Sep 29, 7:30 PM | 58.7% | 60.5% | -1.8 |
| Sep 29, 8:00 PM | 55.8% | 60.0% | -4.2 |
| Sep 29, 8:30 PM | 58.8% | 60.5% | -1.7 |
| Sep 29, 8:40 PM | 59.2% | 60.5% | -1.3 |
| Sep 29, 8:50 PM | 59.2% | 60.0% | -0.8 |
| Sep 29, 9:00 PM | 59.2% | 62.0% | -2.8 |
| Sep 29, 9:10 PM | 60.8% | 65.5% | -4.7 |
| Sep 29, 9:20 PM | 64.4% | 65.0% | -0.6 |
| Sep 29, 9:30 PM | 63.8% | 67.3% | -3.5 |
| Sep 30, 12:50 AM | 56.5% | 62.7% | -6.2 |
| Sep 30, 7:40 AM | 56.3% | 81.3% | -25 |
| Sep 30, 8:10 AM | 56.9% | 60.9% | -4 |
| Sep 30, 8:30 AM | 56.3% | 60.0% | -3.7 |
| Sep 30, 8:40 AM | 53.8% | 58.0% | -4.2 |
| Sep 30, 11:20 AM | 59.2% | 59.0% | 0.2 |
| Sep 30, 11:30 AM | 58.4% | 58.7% | -0.3 |
| Sep 30, 2:00 PM | 57.5% | 61.2% | -3.7 |
| Sep 30, 5:40 PM | 59.3% | 60.2% | -0.9 |
| Sep 30, 5:50 PM | 55.8% | 60.3% | -4.5 |
| Sep 30, 8:10 PM | 59.2% | 61.2% | -2 |
| Sep 30, 8:50 PM | 60.2% | 61.2% | -1 |
| Sep 30, 9:00 PM | 58.7% | 63.0% | -4.3 |
| Sep 30, 9:10 PM | 60.9% | 64.0% | -3.1 |
| Sep 30, 9:20 PM | 61.8% | 83.5% | -21.7 |
| Oct 1, 5:00 PM | 58.4% | 68.8% | -10.4 |
| Oct 1, 5:20 PM | 60.9% | 67.7% | -6.8 |
| Oct 1, 5:30 PM | 62.5% | 66.7% | -4.2 |
| Oct 1, 5:40 PM | 62.5% | 65.3% | -2.8 |
| Oct 1, 7:00 PM | 61.6% | 66.0% | -4.4 |
| Oct 2, 10:40 AM | 61.6% | 64.3% | -2.7 |
| Oct 2, 2:40 PM | 60.3% | 64.0% | -3.7 |
| Oct 2, 11:20 PM | 61.1% | 65.5% | -4.4 |
| Oct 2, 11:30 PM | 61.6% | 65.2% | -3.6 |
| Oct 3, 12:20 AM | 59.8% | 65.0% | -5.2 |
| Oct 3, 12:30 PM | 62.5% | 67.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 3, 1:30 PM | 63.3% | 64.4% | -1.1 |
| Oct 3, 1:40 PM | 64.0% | 66.0% | -2 |
| Oct 3, 2:00 PM | 63.4% | 63.0% | 0.4 |
| Oct 3, 2:40 PM | 64.6% | 66.5% | -1.9 |
| Oct 3, 3:30 PM | 64.0% | 66.0% | -2 |
| Oct 3, 4:40 PM | 62.5% | 66.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 3, 4:50 PM | 64.6% | 66.4% | -1.8 |
| Oct 3, 5:00 PM | 63.3% | 82.6% | -19.3 |
| Oct 3, 5:10 PM | 54.5% | 60.0% | -5.5 |
| Oct 3, 5:20 PM | 54.4% | 58.0% | -3.6 |
| Oct 3, 5:30 PM | 55.2% | 53.1% | 2.1 |
| Oct 3, 5:40 PM | 43.2% | 44.0% | -0.8 |
| Oct 3, 5:50 PM | 42.5% | 43.5% | -1 |
| Oct 3, 6:00 PM | 43.0% | 45.0% | -2 |
| Oct 3, 6:10 PM | 44.2% | 46.9% | -2.7 |
| Oct 3, 6:20 PM | 43.3% | 44.6% | -1.3 |
| Oct 3, 6:30 PM | 42.5% | 67.5% | -25 |
| Oct 3, 6:40 PM | 26.7% | 46.0% | -19.3 |
| Oct 3, 6:50 PM | 26.9% | 30.6% | -3.7 |
| Oct 3, 9:40 PM | 57.5% | 62.7% | -5.2 |
| Oct 4, 12:10 AM | 57.5% | 67.7% | -10.2 |
| Oct 4, 11:50 AM | 55.2% | 59.0% | -3.8 |
| Oct 4, 12:00 PM | 55.4% | 56.5% | -1.1 |
| Oct 5, 1:10 PM | 55.1% | 56.5% | -1.4 |
| Oct 5, 2:40 PM | 55.4% | 56.1% | -0.7 |
| Oct 5, 4:00 PM | 54.5% | 58.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 5, 5:00 PM | 54.1% | 58.2% | -4.1 |
| Oct 5, 5:10 PM | 54.5% | 55.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 5, 5:20 PM | 53.1% | 53.9% | -0.8 |
| Oct 5, 5:50 PM | 52.0% | 53.5% | -1.5 |
| Oct 5, 6:20 PM | 53.1% | 55.9% | -2.8 |
| Oct 5, 6:30 PM | 52.0% | 53.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 5, 6:50 PM | 53.1% | 55.9% | -2.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 9m ago | |
|
|
0.5 | BetRivers does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 6m ago | |
|
|
0.5 | Fanatics Sportsbook does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 8m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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