Projection 0.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 2 of 10 (20%).
Brian Navarreto Hits 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.4% against 46.7% (an edge of -4.3 points) and is now 40.9% against 50.0% (-9.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 4:10 PM | 42.4% | 46.7% | -4.3 |
| Sep 24, 4:30 PM | 41.7% | 43.5% | -1.8 |
| Sep 24, 4:40 PM | 39.8% | 42.9% | -3.1 |
| Sep 24, 5:00 PM | 41.7% | 45.7% | -4 |
| Sep 24, 5:30 PM | 40.7% | 43.9% | -3.2 |
| Sep 24, 6:20 PM | 40.9% | 49.5% | -8.6 |
| Sep 24, 6:40 PM | 42.5% | 50.5% | -8 |
| Sep 24, 6:50 PM | 42.7% | 50.5% | -7.8 |
| Sep 24, 7:00 PM | 40.9% | 50.0% | -9.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0.5 | 1xBet does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | 1xBet last repriced this 10h ago | |
| Parlayplay | 0.5 | Parlayplay does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Parlayplay last repriced this 9h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with PremiumUpdated about 10 hours ago.