How this price has moved at 2.5
Trey Yesavage Hits Allowed 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 42.4% against 50.5% (an edge of -8.1 points) and is now 42.4% against 50.5% (-8.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 6:40 PM | 42.4% | 50.5% | -8.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 2h ago | |
| Courtside | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 2h ago | ||
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | 1xBet last repriced this 14m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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