How this price has moved at 1.5
Parker Messick Walks Allowed 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 44.2% against 63.0% (an edge of -18.8 points) and is now 44.2% against 63.0% (-18.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 8:00 PM | 44.2% | 63.0% | -18.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 25m ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 34m ago | ||
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 22m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with PremiumUpdated 23 minutes ago.