Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Hunter Feduccia Hits 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.1% against 60.0% (an edge of -11.9 points) and is now 57.5% against 59.0% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 8:10 PM | 48.1% | 60.0% | -11.9 |
| Sep 20, 8:20 PM | 49.1% | 48.1% | 1 |
| Sep 20, 8:30 PM | 47.7% | 51.6% | -3.9 |
| Sep 20, 8:40 PM | 47.6% | 53.6% | -6 |
| Sep 20, 8:50 PM | 46.2% | 53.0% | -6.8 |
| Sep 20, 9:00 PM | 35.6% | 40.1% | -4.5 |
| Sep 20, 9:10 PM | 36.6% | 38.5% | -1.9 |
| Sep 20, 9:20 PM | 34.3% | 41.3% | -7 |
| Sep 20, 9:30 PM | 34.8% | 25.5% | 9.3 |
| Sep 24, 10:10 PM | 45.5% | 48.1% | -2.6 |
| Sep 24, 10:40 PM | 45.5% | 48.1% | -2.6 |
| Sep 24, 11:00 PM | 44.6% | 47.4% | -2.8 |
| Sep 24, 11:20 PM | 46.9% | 48.1% | -1.2 |
| Sep 25, 12:10 AM | 44.2% | 53.9% | -9.7 |
| Sep 25, 1:10 AM | 43.7% | 45.0% | -1.3 |
| Sep 25, 2:10 AM | 44.5% | 48.6% | -4.1 |
| Sep 25, 2:20 AM | 46.5% | 50.0% | -3.5 |
| Sep 25, 2:30 AM | 45.6% | 50.0% | -4.4 |
| Sep 25, 2:40 AM | 43.9% | 52.5% | -8.6 |
| Sep 25, 2:50 AM | 33.5% | 41.5% | -8 |
| Sep 25, 3:00 AM | 33.8% | 37.0% | -3.2 |
| Sep 25, 3:10 AM | 29.4% | 36.5% | -7.1 |
| Sep 25, 3:30 AM | 25.4% | 26.0% | -0.6 |
| Sep 25, 3:40 AM | 27.1% | 29.0% | -1.9 |
| Sep 25, 4:00 AM | 26.8% | 30.0% | -3.2 |
| Sep 25, 4:10 AM | 29.0% | 30.1% | -1.1 |
| Sep 25, 4:20 AM | 30.8% | 27.1% | 3.7 |
| Sep 25, 4:50 AM | 13.8% | 4.0% | 9.8 |
| Sep 26, 2:20 PM | 55.0% | 59.0% | -4 |
| Sep 26, 2:40 PM | 56.3% | 58.7% | -2.4 |
| Sep 26, 3:10 PM | 57.5% | 59.0% | -1.5 |
| Sep 26, 4:30 PM | 57.5% | 59.0% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0.5 | Smarkets does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Smarkets last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with PremiumUpdated about 3 hours ago.