Zebby Matthews — Pitcher Outs
Projection 17.1
How this price has moved at 15.5
Zebby Matthews Pitcher Outs 15.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 49.1% against 51.0% (an edge of -1.9 points) and is now 48.1% against 57.3% (-9.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 21, 1:10 PM | 49.1% | 51.0% | -1.9 |
| Sep 21, 1:50 PM | 48.1% | 57.3% | -9.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
15.5 | — — | -125 55.6% | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 5m ago |
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
15.5 | -110 52.4% | -130 56.5% | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 7m ago |
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
15.5 | 50¢ -100 | 53¢ -113 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 6m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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