Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Leo Rivas RBIs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 20.0% against 21.7% (an edge of -1.7 points) and is now 21.0% against 22.0% (-1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 9:40 PM | 20.0% | 21.7% | -1.7 |
| Sep 24, 10:10 PM | 20.5% | 20.8% | -0.3 |
| Sep 25, 2:10 AM | 22.2% | 89.0% | -66.8 |
| Sep 25, 2:20 AM | 36.7% | 89.0% | -52.3 |
| Sep 26, 2:10 AM | 19.1% | 21.0% | -1.9 |
| Sep 26, 2:20 AM | 18.3% | 23.0% | -4.7 |
| Sep 26, 2:30 AM | 18.6% | 21.0% | -2.4 |
| Sep 26, 2:40 AM | 17.6% | 19.0% | -1.4 |
| Sep 26, 2:50 AM | 15.6% | 20.0% | -4.4 |
| Sep 26, 3:00 AM | 13.5% | 18.0% | -4.5 |
| Sep 26, 3:10 AM | 14.0% | 15.0% | -1 |
| Sep 26, 3:20 AM | 17.9% | 42.0% | -24.1 |
| Sep 26, 3:30 AM | 13.4% | 11.0% | 2.4 |
| Sep 26, 3:40 AM | 9.1% | 11.0% | -1.9 |
| Sep 26, 4:00 AM | 6.7% | 55.0% | -48.3 |
| Sep 26, 9:50 AM | 22.1% | 24.5% | -2.4 |
| Sep 26, 1:00 PM | 22.0% | 23.4% | -1.4 |
| Sep 26, 3:10 PM | 21.0% | 22.0% | -1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | BetMGM does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 4h ago | |
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 5h ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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