Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 0 of 10 (0%).
Leo Rivas Home Runs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 5.6% against 4.0% (an edge of 1.6 points) and is now 4.1% against 2.0% (2.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 25, 2:20 AM | 5.6% | 4.0% | 1.6 |
| Sep 25, 2:40 AM | 4.6% | 5.0% | -0.4 |
| Sep 25, 3:00 AM | 4.1% | 6.9% | -2.8 |
| Sep 25, 3:20 AM | 4.1% | 4.9% | -0.8 |
| Sep 25, 3:30 AM | 3.7% | 2.9% | 0.8 |
| Sep 25, 3:40 AM | 4.1% | 6.9% | -2.8 |
| Sep 26, 2:30 AM | 7.2% | 8.7% | -1.5 |
| Sep 26, 2:40 AM | 6.4% | 5.9% | 0.5 |
| Sep 26, 2:50 AM | 6.3% | 5.0% | 1.3 |
| Sep 26, 3:20 AM | 5.6% | 5.9% | -0.3 |
| Sep 26, 3:40 AM | 4.1% | 2.0% | 2.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
0.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 27m ago | |
|
|
0.5 | ProphetX does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 3h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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