Leo Rivas — Hits
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 4 of 10 (40%).
Leo Rivas Hits 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 43.9% against 46.9% (an edge of -3 points) and is now 46.4% against 47.6% (-1.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 24, 10:10 PM | 43.9% | 46.9% | -3 |
| Sep 24, 11:00 PM | 45.5% | 46.9% | -1.4 |
| Sep 25, 1:40 AM | 43.3% | 47.6% | -4.3 |
| Sep 25, 2:10 AM | 46.9% | 49.5% | -2.6 |
| Sep 25, 10:30 PM | 45.5% | 50.0% | -4.5 |
| Sep 25, 11:50 PM | 45.5% | 49.0% | -3.5 |
| Sep 26, 2:10 AM | 41.9% | 46.9% | -5 |
| Sep 26, 2:20 AM | 43.1% | 48.1% | -5 |
| Sep 26, 2:30 AM | 43.9% | 44.1% | -0.2 |
| Sep 26, 2:40 AM | 42.1% | 42.9% | -0.8 |
| Sep 26, 2:50 AM | 30.6% | 39.6% | -9 |
| Sep 26, 3:10 AM | 31.3% | 33.0% | -1.7 |
| Sep 26, 3:20 AM | 31.3% | 31.0% | 0.3 |
| Sep 26, 3:30 AM | 24.5% | 20.0% | 4.5 |
| Sep 26, 3:40 AM | 19.9% | 21.8% | -1.9 |
| Sep 26, 3:50 AM | 22.0% | 20.0% | 2 |
| Sep 26, 4:00 AM | 18.5% | 17.0% | 1.5 |
| Sep 26, 4:10 AM | 50.2% | 1.0% | 49.2 |
| Sep 26, 4:20 AM | 50.1% | 1.0% | 49.1 |
| Sep 26, 9:10 AM | 43.6% | 47.4% | -3.8 |
| Sep 26, 9:50 AM | 46.7% | 50.0% | -3.3 |
| Sep 26, 12:20 PM | 46.5% | 48.1% | -1.6 |
| Sep 26, 12:30 PM | 46.4% | 47.6% | -1.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 5h ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 5h ago | ||
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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