Sal Frelick — Hits + Runs + RBIs
How this price has moved at 1.5
Sal Frelick Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 44.0% against 45.0% (an edge of -1 points) and is now 18.2% against 67.0% (-48.8 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 20, 9:30 PM | 44.0% | 45.0% | -1 |
| Sep 20, 11:10 PM | 43.2% | 46.5% | -3.3 |
| Sep 20, 11:20 PM | 41.7% | 44.1% | -2.4 |
| Sep 20, 11:30 PM | 42.8% | 46.6% | -3.8 |
| Sep 20, 11:40 PM | 43.7% | 42.9% | 0.8 |
| Sep 20, 11:50 PM | 36.8% | 33.0% | 3.8 |
| Sep 21, 12:00 AM | 41.7% | 33.0% | 8.7 |
| Sep 21, 12:30 AM | 20.1% | 47.5% | -27.4 |
| Sep 21, 12:50 AM | 20.4% | 19.0% | 1.4 |
| Sep 21, 1:20 AM | 18.2% | 67.0% | -48.8 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 Smarkets
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Smarkets last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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