How this price has moved at 1.5
Taj Bradley Earned Runs 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 59.9% against 65.3% (an edge of -5.4 points) and is now 59.0% against 64.7% (-5.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 18, 12:50 AM | 59.9% | 65.3% | -5.4 |
| Sep 18, 3:10 AM | 59.0% | 64.7% | -5.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 1h ago | ||
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1.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 13m ago | |
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1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with PremiumUpdated 13 minutes ago.