Dominic Smith — Home Runs
Projection 0.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Dominic Smith Home Runs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 9.5% against 13.0% (an edge of -3.5 points) and is now 9.5% against 13.0% (-3.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 8:20 PM | 9.5% | 13.0% | -3.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Novig
|
0.5 | Novig does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 20m ago | |
 ProphetX
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this just now |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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