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Javier Baez — Home Runs

Projection 0.1

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)

Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 0 of 10 (0%).

Javier Baez Home Runs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 7.8% against 8.0% (an edge of -0.2 points) and is now 5.6% against 5.5% (0.1 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Sep 18, 12:30 AM 7.8% 8.0% -0.2
Sep 18, 12:40 AM 7.9% 5.5% 2.4
Sep 18, 12:50 AM 5.6% 5.5% 0.1

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Every venue pricing Javier Baez Home Runs
Venue Line Over Under Vs best Age
NovigNovig 0.5 Novig does not price the under Premium to see the gap to the best price Novig last repriced this 1h ago
ProphetXProphetX 0.5 ProphetX does not price the under Premium to see the gap to the best price ProphetX last repriced this 21m ago

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated 21 minutes ago.