Gavin Sheets — Hits
Projection 0.9
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 6 of 10 (60%).
Gavin Sheets Hits 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 55.1% against 59.0% (an edge of -3.9 points) and is now 46.5% against 57.1% (-10.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27, 12:40 AM | 55.1% | 59.0% | -3.9 |
| Sep 27, 12:50 AM | 58.2% | 62.0% | -3.8 |
| Sep 27, 1:00 AM | 46.2% | 48.1% | -1.9 |
| Sep 27, 1:10 AM | 44.6% | 42.9% | 1.7 |
| Sep 27, 1:20 AM | 42.8% | 46.1% | -3.3 |
| Sep 27, 1:30 AM | 47.6% | 48.5% | -0.9 |
| Sep 27, 1:40 PM | 51.6% | 60.0% | -8.4 |
| Sep 27, 4:10 PM | 57.2% | 62.1% | -4.9 |
| Sep 27, 4:20 PM | 56.8% | 60.6% | -3.8 |
| Sep 27, 5:00 PM | 57.9% | 59.0% | -1.1 |
| Sep 27, 5:20 PM | 56.3% | 60.6% | -4.3 |
| Sep 27, 6:20 PM | 56.8% | 60.0% | -3.2 |
| Sep 27, 7:10 PM | 56.7% | 59.0% | -2.3 |
| Sep 27, 7:20 PM | 56.1% | 57.1% | -1 |
| Sep 27, 7:30 PM | 50.1% | 50.0% | 0.1 |
| Sep 27, 7:50 PM | 46.5% | 57.1% | -10.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Fanatics Sportsbook
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 14m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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