Austin Hays — Hits + Runs + RBIs
How this price has moved at 1.5
Austin Hays Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 39.8% against 41.0% (an edge of -1.2 points) and is now 38.5% against 40.0% (-1.5 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 11:10 PM | 39.8% | 41.0% | -1.2 |
| Sep 23, 12:10 AM | 38.5% | 40.0% | -1.5 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Bovada
|
0.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 15m ago | |
 Hard Rock Bet
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 21m ago | ||
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 26m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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