Austin Hays — Hits
Projection 1.0
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 5 of 10 (50%).
Austin Hays Hits 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 55.4% against 59.0% (an edge of -3.6 points) and is now 55.4% against 59.0% (-3.6 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 11:30 PM | 55.4% | 59.0% | -3.6 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 DraftKings
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 Hard Rock Bet
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Hard Rock Bet last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Kalshi does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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