Projection 3.7
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (3.5)
Teal bars cleared 3.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).
Janson Junk Strikeouts 3.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 39.6% against 45.1% (an edge of -5.5 points) and is now 39.8% against 43.1% (-3.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 8:00 AM | 39.6% | 45.1% | -5.5 |
| Sep 22, 8:20 AM | 39.5% | 44.1% | -4.6 |
| Sep 22, 8:30 AM | 39.9% | 44.1% | -4.2 |
| Sep 22, 8:40 AM | 39.8% | 43.1% | -3.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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2.5 | DraftKings does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 10m ago | |
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2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 5m ago | ||
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3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this just now |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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