Robbie Ray — Pitcher Outs
Projection 17.0
How this price has moved at 14.5
Robbie Ray Pitcher Outs 14.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.9% against 57.1% (an edge of -3.2 points) and is now 56.0% against 58.1% (-2.1 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 5:40 AM | 53.9% | 57.1% | -3.2 |
| Sep 23, 7:00 AM | 54.5% | 59.0% | -4.5 |
| Sep 23, 7:10 AM | 54.3% | 58.7% | -4.4 |
| Sep 23, 12:00 PM | 54.5% | 77.3% | -22.8 |
| Sep 23, 1:00 PM | 53.9% | 68.3% | -14.4 |
| Sep 23, 3:30 PM | 54.5% | 57.1% | -2.6 |
| Sep 23, 4:20 PM | 54.8% | 68.8% | -14 |
| Sep 23, 6:30 PM | 55.8% | 55.9% | -0.1 |
| Sep 23, 6:40 PM | 55.6% | 55.9% | -0.3 |
| Sep 23, 7:30 PM | 55.8% | 55.9% | -0.1 |
| Sep 23, 8:30 PM | 54.7% | 57.1% | -2.4 |
| Sep 23, 9:10 PM | 55.8% | 57.5% | -1.7 |
| Sep 23, 9:40 PM | 56.1% | 58.1% | -2 |
| Sep 23, 9:50 PM | 56.0% | 58.1% | -2.1 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 BetMGM
|
14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 2h ago | ||
 Kalshi
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Kalshi last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 1xBet
|
14.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | 1xBet last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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