Robbie Ray — Hits Allowed
How this price has moved at 4.5
Robbie Ray Hits Allowed 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 56.9% (an edge of -6.9 points) and is now 51.9% against 53.1% (-1.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 6:10 AM | 50.0% | 56.9% | -6.9 |
| Sep 23, 12:00 PM | 51.0% | 55.0% | -4 |
| Sep 23, 5:40 PM | 52.5% | 55.2% | -2.7 |
| Sep 23, 6:50 PM | 51.7% | 55.2% | -3.5 |
| Sep 23, 9:50 PM | 51.7% | 53.9% | -2.2 |
| Sep 23, 10:00 PM | 51.9% | 53.1% | -1.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
2.5 | Polymarket does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 1h ago | |
|
Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
3.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 10m ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 2h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium2 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 10 minutes ago.