Robbie Ray — Earned Runs
How this price has moved at 2.5
Robbie Ray Earned Runs 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.8% against 60.9% (an edge of -7.1 points) and is now 52.1% against 57.3% (-5.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 6:10 AM | 53.8% | 60.9% | -7.1 |
| Sep 23, 9:50 PM | 52.1% | 57.3% | -5.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 12m ago | ||
|
Polymarket
contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents
|
1.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 10m ago | ||
 DraftKings
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | DraftKings last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium2 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 10 minutes ago.