How this price has moved at 0.5
Blake Snell Earned Runs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 54.7% against 59.5% (an edge of -4.8 points) and is now 52.7% against 60.9% (-8.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 12:50 PM | 54.7% | 59.5% | -4.8 |
| Sep 26, 1:00 PM | 53.5% | 60.3% | -6.8 |
| Sep 26, 1:10 PM | 55.2% | 60.3% | -5.1 |
| Sep 26, 1:20 PM | 54.2% | 59.0% | -4.8 |
| Sep 26, 1:50 PM | 56.5% | 60.6% | -4.1 |
| Sep 26, 2:10 PM | 52.9% | 60.3% | -7.4 |
| Sep 26, 4:50 PM | 55.2% | 60.8% | -5.6 |
| Sep 26, 6:20 PM | 56.1% | 61.1% | -5 |
| Sep 26, 6:30 PM | 52.7% | 60.9% | -8.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 17m ago | ||
| Courtside | 0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 5h ago | ||
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0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 17m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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