How this price has moved at 4.5
Logan Gilbert Hits Allowed 4.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 53.8% against 58.7% (an edge of -4.9 points) and is now 53.8% against 58.7% (-4.9 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 22, 1:30 AM | 53.8% | 58.7% | -4.9 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this 2h ago | ||
|
|
4.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 22m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with PremiumUpdated 23 minutes ago.