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Shohei Ohtani — RBIs

Projection 0.9

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)

Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 0 of 10 (0%).

Shohei Ohtani RBIs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 40.5% against 38.0% (an edge of 2.5 points) and is now 39.2% against 37.0% (2.2 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time Book consensus, de-vigged Prediction market Edge in percentage points
Sep 23, 5:20 AM 40.5% 38.0% 2.5
Sep 23, 5:50 AM 40.8% 38.0% 2.8
Sep 23, 10:40 PM 38.5% 38.0% 0.5
Sep 23, 10:50 PM 39.2% 37.0% 2.2

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Every venue pricing Shohei Ohtani RBIs
Venue Line Over Under Vs best Age
KalshiKalshi contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents 0.5 Kalshi does not price the under Premium to see the gap to the best price Kalshi last repriced this 14m ago
PolymarketPolymarket contract market — quotes binary $1/$0 contracts in cents 0.5 Polymarket does not price the under Premium to see the gap to the best price Polymarket last repriced this 14m ago
ProphetXProphetX 0.5 ProphetX does not price the under Premium to see the gap to the best price ProphetX last repriced this 2h ago

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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Updated 15 minutes ago.