Ryan McMahon — Hits

Projection 0.6

Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)

Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 3 of 10 (30%).

Ryan McMahon Hits 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 48.0% against 51.2% (an edge of -3.2 points) and is now 43.4% against 46.3% (-2.9 points).

De-vigged book consensus against the prediction-market price, by time
Time	Book consensus, de-vigged	Prediction market	Edge in percentage points
Sep 22, 4:40 AM	48.0%	51.2%	-3.2
Sep 22, 6:50 AM	48.0%	50.0%	-2
Sep 22, 7:00 AM	49.0%	50.0%	-1
Sep 22, 7:20 AM	46.9%	51.2%	-4.3
Sep 22, 8:10 AM	49.0%	52.6%	-3.6
Sep 22, 10:40 AM	50.1%	50.0%	0.1
Sep 22, 12:10 PM	51.0%	51.5%	-0.5
Sep 22, 12:20 PM	53.1%	50.0%	3.1
Sep 22, 2:40 PM	51.5%	51.2%	0.3
Sep 22, 7:20 PM	41.5%	44.1%	-2.6
Sep 22, 7:30 PM	42.5%	45.0%	-2.5
Sep 22, 8:50 PM	43.7%	44.1%	-0.4
Sep 22, 9:20 PM	39.8%	42.0%	-2.2
Sep 22, 9:30 PM	44.5%	46.9%	-2.4
Sep 22, 9:40 PM	43.7%	46.1%	-2.4
Sep 22, 9:50 PM	44.6%	46.7%	-2.1
Sep 22, 10:00 PM	44.6%	46.1%	-1.5
Sep 22, 10:30 PM	43.7%	44.1%	-0.4
Sep 22, 11:00 PM	44.6%	47.5%	-2.9
Sep 22, 11:10 PM	42.3%	45.0%	-2.7
Sep 22, 11:20 PM	41.7%	46.0%	-4.3
Sep 22, 11:30 PM	40.9%	44.1%	-3.2
Sep 22, 11:40 PM	40.1%	46.1%	-6
Sep 22, 11:50 PM	35.5%	34.0%	1.5
Sep 23, 12:00 AM	30.7%	33.5%	-2.8
Sep 23, 12:20 AM	31.9%	33.0%	-1.1
Sep 23, 12:30 AM	29.0%	34.1%	-5.1
Sep 23, 1:10 AM	15.8%	18.5%	-2.7
Sep 23, 1:20 AM	18.8%	30.0%	-11.2
Sep 23, 1:30 AM	19.5%	20.0%	-0.5
Sep 23, 7:50 PM	46.7%	50.7%	-4
Sep 23, 8:30 PM	47.8%	46.9%	0.9
Sep 23, 8:40 PM	46.9%	47.6%	-0.7
Sep 23, 8:50 PM	46.2%	49.0%	-2.8
Sep 23, 9:10 PM	48.3%	49.0%	-0.7
Sep 23, 9:20 PM	49.0%	49.0%	0
Sep 23, 9:30 PM	49.0%	49.8%	-0.8
Sep 23, 9:50 PM	45.6%	50.6%	-5
Sep 23, 10:30 PM	46.9%	48.8%	-1.9
Sep 23, 10:40 PM	45.5%	48.1%	-2.6
Sep 23, 11:00 PM	46.9%	51.9%	-5
Sep 23, 11:20 PM	45.3%	51.5%	-6.2
Sep 23, 11:30 PM	44.8%	51.0%	-6.2
Sep 25, 10:40 PM	43.1%	53.9%	-10.8
Sep 27, 3:30 AM	51.0%	54.3%	-3.3
Sep 27, 4:10 AM	51.0%	55.4%	-4.4
Sep 27, 6:50 AM	51.0%	55.6%	-4.6
Sep 27, 8:10 AM	50.0%	54.5%	-4.5
Sep 27, 12:20 PM	48.6%	53.5%	-4.9
Sep 27, 1:00 PM	48.0%	51.7%	-3.7
Sep 27, 2:10 PM	49.0%	51.5%	-2.5
Sep 30, 3:30 AM	44.2%	50.5%	-6.3
Sep 30, 5:10 AM	46.9%	50.7%	-3.8
Sep 30, 5:30 AM	46.9%	51.0%	-4.1
Sep 30, 9:00 AM	45.5%	47.6%	-2.1
Sep 30, 9:10 AM	42.5%	47.6%	-5.1
Sep 30, 12:40 PM	43.7%	46.9%	-3.2
Sep 30, 1:10 PM	41.7%	46.8%	-5.1
Sep 30, 1:40 PM	43.2%	46.9%	-3.7
Sep 30, 1:50 PM	43.7%	46.9%	-3.2
Sep 30, 2:30 PM	43.8%	46.3%	-2.5
Sep 30, 5:20 PM	43.3%	46.5%	-3.2
Sep 30, 8:30 PM	43.7%	45.0%	-1.3
Sep 30, 10:00 PM	43.1%	46.1%	-3
Sep 30, 11:00 PM	43.7%	44.1%	-0.4
Sep 30, 11:50 PM	42.8%	42.9%	-0.1
Oct 1, 12:00 AM	39.7%	42.9%	-3.2
Oct 1, 12:20 AM	41.9%	42.9%	-1
Oct 1, 12:30 AM	41.7%	44.1%	-2.4
Oct 1, 12:40 AM	40.9%	42.9%	-2
Oct 1, 12:50 AM	41.9%	51.0%	-9.1
Oct 2, 2:20 AM	45.5%	50.0%	-4.5
Oct 2, 5:20 AM	46.5%	48.5%	-2
Oct 2, 6:10 AM	43.7%	46.7%	-3
Oct 2, 6:20 AM	44.0%	46.9%	-2.9
Oct 2, 7:00 AM	44.6%	46.1%	-1.5
Oct 2, 9:10 AM	40.8%	46.7%	-5.9
Oct 2, 9:40 AM	44.6%	48.8%	-4.2
Oct 2, 10:30 AM	46.9%	45.2%	1.7
Oct 3, 7:00 PM	43.7%	46.9%	-3.2
Oct 3, 7:10 PM	44.6%	46.5%	-1.9
Oct 3, 8:00 PM	44.6%	46.7%	-2.1
Oct 3, 8:40 PM	44.2%	46.5%	-2.3
Oct 3, 8:50 PM	44.9%	46.9%	-2
Oct 3, 10:00 PM	40.6%	45.6%	-5
Oct 3, 10:10 PM	42.7%	44.0%	-1.3
Oct 3, 10:20 PM	45.5%	43.1%	2.4
Oct 3, 10:30 PM	43.9%	46.9%	-3
Oct 3, 10:40 PM	43.9%	46.1%	-2.2
Oct 3, 10:50 PM	42.7%	45.1%	-2.4
Oct 3, 11:00 PM	43.2%	46.6%	-3.4
Oct 3, 11:10 PM	43.1%	46.9%	-3.8
Oct 3, 11:20 PM	32.5%	36.0%	-3.5
Oct 3, 11:30 PM	32.0%	35.0%	-3
Oct 3, 11:40 PM	31.3%	34.0%	-2.7
Oct 3, 11:50 PM	29.4%	35.0%	-5.6
Oct 4, 12:00 AM	28.9%	33.0%	-4.1
Oct 4, 12:10 AM	19.1%	19.5%	-0.4
Oct 4, 12:20 AM	17.6%	19.5%	-1.9
Oct 4, 12:30 AM	17.6%	19.0%	-1.4
Oct 4, 12:40 AM	15.5%	18.0%	-2.5
Oct 4, 1:00 AM	16.8%	13.5%	3.3
Oct 4, 1:40 AM	46.9%	53.1%	-6.2
Oct 4, 1:50 AM	43.3%	50.5%	-7.2
Oct 4, 2:20 AM	46.9%	50.2%	-3.3
Oct 4, 4:40 AM	45.5%	49.5%	-4
Oct 4, 7:30 AM	43.9%	50.0%	-6.1
Oct 4, 8:00 AM	44.8%	50.0%	-5.2
Oct 5, 2:30 PM	45.5%	46.1%	-0.6
Oct 5, 5:30 PM	43.4%	46.3%	-2.9

Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.

Every venue pricing Ryan McMahon Hits
Venue	Line	Over	Under	Vs best	Age
BetMGM	0.5	+110 47.6%	-150 60%	Premium to see the gap to the best price	BetMGM last repriced this just now
Courtside	0.5	+119 45.7%	— Courtside does not price the under	Premium to see the gap to the best price	Courtside last repriced this 11m ago
Fanatics Sportsbook	0.5	+110 47.6%	-145 59.2%	Premium to see the gap to the best price	Fanatics Sportsbook last repriced this just now

Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.

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