Jazz Chisholm Jr. — Home Runs
Projection 0.1
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Jazz Chisholm Jr. Home Runs 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 18.8% against 17.4% (an edge of 1.4 points) and is now 10.6% against 10.9% (-0.3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23, 9:50 PM | 18.8% | 17.4% | 1.4 |
| Sep 23, 10:00 PM | 18.9% | 17.2% | 1.7 |
| Sep 23, 11:30 PM | 18.5% | 22.0% | -3.5 |
| Sep 24, 12:00 AM | 11.0% | 16.9% | -5.9 |
| Sep 24, 12:10 AM | 11.0% | 14.7% | -3.7 |
| Sep 24, 12:20 AM | 11.0% | 13.0% | -2 |
| Sep 24, 1:00 AM | 10.6% | 8.7% | 1.9 |
| Sep 27, 1:30 PM | 10.6% | 10.9% | -0.3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 Novig
|
0.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Novig last repriced this 2m ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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