Right now BeatVig prices 374 player props at both. Hard Rock Bet is the cheaper side 69% of the time (261 of 374), and ProphetX is cheaper on 102. This is the board as it stands at 03 Nov 08:05 ET, not an average over any period — BeatVig measures live prices and keeps no price history.
How they differ
Hard Rock Bet is a sportsbook: it posts its own line and keeps its margin inside the two prices. ProphetX is an exchange: traders set the price between themselves and the fee sits outside it. Which of them is cheaper is not a constant and is not something this page asserts: every prop Hard Rock Bet and ProphetX both price right now is converted to the implied probability of the same outcome and counted below, so the answer moves with the two boards rather than with the date this page was written.
Where Hard Rock Bet is cheaper
Counted above: every prop Hard Rock Bet prices lower than ProphetX. Listed below: the ones that also beat a de-vigged fair price, which is the stricter test and the only one worth acting on.
Hard Rock Bet is not currently beating fair value on any player props both venues list.
How each one charges
- Hard Rock Bet
- Hard Rock Bet is a traditional sportsbook: it posts its own line and prices both sides with its margin included, taking the other side of your bet itself rather than matching you against another user.
- Hard Rock Bet's margin sits inside the two prices rather than arriving as a separate commission, so it is paid on every bet whether that bet wins or loses. How much of a given price is margin varies by market — convert both sides to implied probability and the amount they total above 100% is what the book is charging.
- Hard Rock Bet carries one of the deepest player-prop menus of any venue on this site, listing the full passing, rushing and receiving spread across the slate rather than only the headline markets.
- ProphetX
- ProphetX is a betting exchange: users post the prices and you take the other side of someone else's bet instead of accepting a desk's number.
- ProphetX charges commission on net winnings rather than embedding a margin, so the cost is explicit and only applies when you win.
- ProphetX is live in a limited set of states and its liquidity concentrates on the biggest games and the most-traded player markets.
In short
Right now Hard Rock Bet is the cheaper price on 69% of the 374 player props both venues price, measured live off the current boards.
Hard Rock Bet vs ProphetX FAQ
Is Hard Rock Bet cheaper than ProphetX?
Across the 374 player props priced at both venues right now, Hard Rock Bet is the cheaper side on 261 and ProphetX is cheaper on 102; the rest are priced identically at both. Neither venue is cheaper on everything, and this is a live count of the current boards rather than an average over time.
How do you compare a Hard Rock Bet price to a ProphetX price?
Every quote from both venues is converted to the implied probability of the same outcome, so a contract price and an American price become the same unit. The cheaper venue is the one implying the lower probability for the side you want.
What does Hard Rock Bet charge?
Hard Rock Bet's margin sits inside the two prices rather than arriving as a separate commission, so it is paid on every bet whether that bet wins or loses. How much of a given price is margin varies by market — convert both sides to implied probability and the amount they total above 100% is what the book is charging.
What does ProphetX charge?
ProphetX charges commission on net winnings rather than embedding a margin, so the cost is explicit and only applies when you win.
How often does this comparison update?
It is computed from the live board every time the page loads, so it reflects the prices both venues are showing at that moment rather than a snapshot taken on an earlier day.