Projection 26.9
+0.54pp vs fair:
Kalshi
prices the over at
-10851.9%52¢
against
Pinnacle's
-11653.7%54¢
.
Last 6 games vs the upcoming matchup line (27.5)
Teal bars cleared 27.5 — 3 of 6 (50%).
Eli Raridon Receiving Yards 27.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 52.4% (an edge of -2.4 points) and is now 50.0% against 52.2% (-2.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 5:40 PM | 50.0% | 52.4% | -2.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 50.0% | 52.2% | -2.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing eli raridon receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
27.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 46m ago | ||
| Courtside | 27.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 44m ago | ||
|
|
49.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Polymarket last repriced this 4h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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