Projection 17.6
+0.19pp vs fair:
Novig
prices the over at
+11346.9%47¢
against
BetMGM's
+10548.8%49¢
.
Last 6 games vs the upcoming matchup line (18.5)
Teal bars cleared 18.5 — 3 of 6 (50%).
Chris Bell Receiving Yards 18.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 50.0% against 52.8% (an edge of -2.8 points) and is now 50.0% against 51.7% (-1.7 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 12:20 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 1:30 AM | 50.0% | 52.8% | -2.8 |
| Oct 31, 10:00 PM | 49.8% | 53.1% | -3.3 |
| Nov 1, 2:00 AM | 49.0% | 53.5% | -4.5 |
| Nov 1, 7:00 AM | 49.1% | 53.3% | -4.2 |
| Nov 1, 11:10 AM | 47.3% | 52.4% | -5.1 |
| Nov 1, 11:40 AM | 49.0% | 51.4% | -2.4 |
| Nov 1, 1:20 PM | 50.0% | 51.8% | -1.8 |
| Nov 1, 2:10 PM | 50.1% | 51.0% | -0.9 |
| Nov 1, 2:50 PM | 49.1% | 51.8% | -2.7 |
| Nov 1, 3:44 PM | 50.0% | 51.7% | -1.7 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing chris bell receiving yards are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
|
18.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 3h ago | ||
|
|
18.5 | Bovada does not price the under | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 2d ago | |
|
|
34.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | ProphetX last repriced this 8h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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