Mason Taylor — Receptions
Projection 2.6
+1.19pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
-11353.1%53¢
against
Stoiximan's
-11854.1%54¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (2.5)
Teal bars cleared 2.5 — 7 of 10 (70%).
Mason Taylor Receptions 2.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 52.5% against 56.0% (an edge of -3.5 points) and is now 52.0% against 55.0% (-3 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 9:10 PM | 52.5% | 56.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 28, 10:00 PM | 52.3% | 56.5% | -4.2 |
| Oct 28, 10:40 PM | 53.1% | 56.5% | -3.4 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 AM | 52.3% | 57.7% | -5.4 |
| Oct 29, 3:00 AM | 53.0% | 57.0% | -4 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 AM | 53.8% | 57.7% | -3.9 |
| Oct 29, 4:10 AM | 52.7% | 57.4% | -4.7 |
| Oct 29, 9:00 AM | 53.7% | 58.0% | -4.3 |
| Oct 29, 1:40 PM | 53.2% | 57.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 29, 3:10 PM | 53.6% | 57.4% | -3.8 |
| Oct 29, 3:20 PM | 53.5% | 57.1% | -3.6 |
| Oct 29, 4:00 PM | 53.5% | 58.0% | -4.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:40 PM | 53.3% | 55.7% | -2.4 |
| Oct 29, 8:50 PM | 53.1% | 55.8% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 54.4% | 57.1% | -2.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:00 AM | 54.5% | 55.2% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 5:30 AM | 53.5% | 55.0% | -1.5 |
| Oct 30, 6:00 AM | 53.3% | 56.2% | -2.9 |
| Oct 30, 6:40 AM | 54.4% | 55.8% | -1.4 |
| Oct 30, 6:50 AM | 53.2% | 57.1% | -3.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 54.1% | 55.0% | -0.9 |
| Oct 30, 7:20 AM | 53.5% | 55.2% | -1.7 |
| Oct 30, 10:20 AM | 53.6% | 57.6% | -4 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 AM | 52.6% | 54.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 12:50 PM | 52.8% | 57.1% | -4.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:00 PM | 53.2% | 56.5% | -3.3 |
| Oct 30, 1:30 PM | 51.7% | 56.3% | -4.6 |
| Oct 30, 1:40 PM | 51.5% | 56.1% | -4.6 |
| Oct 30, 2:40 PM | 51.9% | 55.9% | -4 |
| Oct 30, 2:50 PM | 53.3% | 56.1% | -2.8 |
| Oct 30, 3:30 PM | 53.6% | 55.8% | -2.2 |
| Oct 30, 3:40 PM | 51.0% | 56.3% | -5.3 |
| Oct 30, 3:50 PM | 52.7% | 56.5% | -3.8 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 53.4% | 53.9% | -0.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 54.5% | 53.9% | 0.6 |
| Oct 30, 5:20 PM | 53.2% | 53.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:20 PM | 51.4% | 57.1% | -5.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:30 PM | 54.5% | 57.1% | -2.6 |
| Oct 30, 11:40 PM | 51.0% | 58.7% | -7.7 |
| Oct 30, 11:50 PM | 52.3% | 58.7% | -6.4 |
| Oct 31, 12:50 AM | 53.5% | 53.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 AM | 52.0% | 54.1% | -2.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:40 AM | 52.6% | 54.1% | -1.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:00 AM | 52.2% | 53.9% | -1.7 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 AM | 52.0% | 55.5% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 AM | 51.0% | 55.4% | -4.4 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 AM | 51.1% | 55.8% | -4.7 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 AM | 51.0% | 53.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 4:00 AM | 54.5% | 58.0% | -3.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:20 AM | 51.0% | 56.5% | -5.5 |
| Oct 31, 4:30 AM | 51.0% | 57.3% | -6.3 |
| Oct 31, 4:40 AM | 52.0% | 57.3% | -5.3 |
| Oct 31, 5:10 AM | 51.0% | 53.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 6:10 AM | 53.5% | 53.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 8:10 AM | 52.0% | 54.9% | -2.9 |
| Oct 31, 8:50 AM | 51.8% | 54.5% | -2.7 |
| Oct 31, 9:00 AM | 52.1% | 53.9% | -1.8 |
| Oct 31, 9:10 AM | 53.0% | 53.9% | -0.9 |
| Oct 31, 11:00 AM | 52.0% | 55.0% | -3 |
| Oct 31, 11:10 AM | 53.5% | 54.9% | -1.4 |
| Oct 31, 11:20 AM | 53.5% | 54.5% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 11:50 AM | 52.0% | 54.5% | -2.5 |
| Oct 31, 12:20 PM | 52.7% | 53.7% | -1 |
| Oct 31, 12:30 PM | 53.2% | 53.9% | -0.7 |
| Oct 31, 1:00 PM | 52.4% | 53.5% | -1.1 |
| Oct 31, 1:10 PM | 52.7% | 53.9% | -1.2 |
| Oct 31, 2:20 PM | 53.5% | 53.9% | -0.4 |
| Oct 31, 2:30 PM | 52.0% | 57.6% | -5.6 |
| Oct 31, 2:50 PM | 53.5% | 55.8% | -2.3 |
| Oct 31, 3:00 PM | 52.0% | 55.9% | -3.9 |
| Oct 31, 3:10 PM | 51.9% | 57.3% | -5.4 |
| Oct 31, 3:20 PM | 52.4% | 57.0% | -4.6 |
| Oct 31, 3:30 PM | 54.5% | 56.5% | -2 |
| Oct 31, 1:38 PM | 52.0% | 55.0% | -3 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing mason taylor receptions are still live.
| Venue | Line | Over | Under | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 8h ago | ||
 Bovada
|
2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bovada last repriced this 4h ago | ||
| Courtside | 2.5 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Courtside last repriced this 5h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
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