Kyle Williams — Anytime Touchdown
Projection 0.1
+1.79pp vs fair:
Polymarket
prices the over at
+42619%19¢
against
DraftKings's
+37021.3%21¢
.
Last 10 games vs the upcoming matchup line (0.5)
Teal bars cleared 0.5 — 1 of 10 (10%).
Kyle Williams Anytime Touchdown 0.5: the de-vigged book consensus and the prediction-market price over time. Opened at 14.8% against 15.0% (an edge of -0.2 points) and is now 24.2% against 22.0% (2.2 points).
| Time | Book consensus, de-vigged | Prediction market | Edge in percentage points |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28, 12:20 PM | 14.8% | 15.0% | -0.2 |
| Oct 29, 2:20 AM | 17.0% | 14.0% | 3 |
| Oct 29, 3:30 PM | 17.0% | 14.5% | 2.5 |
| Oct 29, 4:50 PM | 15.4% | 14.8% | 0.6 |
| Oct 29, 5:10 PM | 15.5% | 16.0% | -0.5 |
| Oct 29, 8:20 PM | 16.0% | 17.9% | -1.9 |
| Oct 30, 12:10 AM | 23.2% | 17.0% | 6.2 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 AM | 19.4% | 16.0% | 3.4 |
| Oct 30, 7:00 AM | 19.5% | 19.0% | 0.5 |
| Oct 30, 4:00 PM | 21.8% | 20.4% | 1.4 |
| Oct 30, 4:10 PM | 29.2% | 21.7% | 7.5 |
| Oct 30, 5:10 PM | 21.9% | 20.0% | 1.9 |
| Oct 31, 5:20 PM | 26.6% | 20.5% | 6.1 |
| Oct 31, 2:49 PM | 24.2% | 22.0% | 2.2 |
Line tab: each venue's quote every 10 minutes since it appeared. Book prices are de-vigged multiplicatively and taken as a median; the prediction-market price is the price you would actually pay, not de-vigged. The shaded area is the gap between them.
Waiting for fresh prices — fewer than 3 venues on every venue pricing kyle williams anytime touchdown are still live.
| Venue | Yes | No | Vs best | Age |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bet99 | Premium to see the gap to the best price | Bet99 last repriced this 1h ago | ||
 BetMGM
|
BetMGM does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetMGM last repriced this 36m ago | |
 BetRivers
|
BetRivers does not price the no | Premium to see the gap to the best price | BetRivers last repriced this 1h ago |
Quotes a venue has stopped maintaining are removed from this comparison, not greyed · a venue whose two sides do not price the same bet is left off this row · a venue quoting only one side of a bet is kept and counted — that single price is real, it just has no mate to check it against · no venue in this feed publishes the size resting behind its quote, so none is shown.
Unlock fair value and every gap with Premium11 more books behind Premium
Free accounts see 3 books on a prop. Premium shows every book and exchange we price, so you can take the best number.
Go PremiumUpdated 37 minutes ago.